AI Portfolio Builder

story-prediction-assistant-portfolio-builder User Story

active user-story

Project

story: AI Portfolio Builder

Role

Trader (Lucas)

Key

portfolio-builder

Want

As a trader, I want an AI system that analyzes Kalshi markets, constructs optimized portfolios using stacking and NO-contract hedging, and executes trades via the API

So That

So that I can achieve consistent returns by combining high-confidence picks with bounded downside risk, overcoming the house edge through informational edge and volume

Acceptance Criteria

System scans all same-day markets and identifies 85%+ confidence picks
Portfolio constructed using Option D sizing (83% YES / 17% NO hedge)
Worst-case loss bounded to ~6% of portfolio value
Trades executed via Kalshi API with RSA-PSS SHA-256 auth
Strategy codified as database schema with configurable parameters
System respects API rate limits (20 reads/sec, 10 writes/sec)

Success Metric

Positive EV across 100+ trades with worst-case single-portfolio loss under 6%

arch-domain-kalshi-assistant — Strategy, Trade, Market, Portfolio entities
arch-dataflow-kalshi-assistant — market scan → strategy evaluation → trade execution flow

project-kalshi-assistant — parent project page
board-kalshi-assistant — project board